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[title] => Ozren Polašek: Torcidina proslava nije izravno utjecala na rast broja zaraženih, nismo vidjeli eksploziju od koje se strahovalo
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Pozdravljam što su pojedini stožeri krenuli s promišljanjem i uvođenjem mjera, jer oni imaju puno bolju sliku što im se događa na terenu, kazao je Polašek
Nikad više testiranih, ali i novozaraženih od početka pandemije. Hrvatska je probila još jednu psihološku granicu s 3082 nova slučaja, a preminule su 32 osobe. Prvi je put u jednom danu testirano više od deset tisuća ljudi, što nas i dovodi do broja trenutačno zaraženih više od 16300. Među njima je gotovo 1600 ljudi na bolničkom liječenju, 178 najtežih na respiratoru.
Član Vladina znanstvenog savjeta Ozren Polašek za RTL Danas komentira situaciju s koronavirusom.
Danas više od tri tisuće novih slučajeva, kakve su vaše prognoze, do kojeg bismo broja mogli ići u vrhuncu ovog vala?
Jako teško projicirati gdje će biti vrhunac. Iz medija vidimo da ne možemo reći jesmo li u stagnaciji ili rastu, u svakom slučaju broj je jako velik i nismo nadali da će biti tako velik.
Rekordan je i broj testiranih, brine li to što je sve veći postotak uzoraka pozitivan - u nekim regijama svaki drugi ili treći.
To je jedan broj koji zabrinjava. No, morate znati da se obrazac epidemije mijenja, mijenjaju se parametri epidemije, u odnosu na osmi mjesec kada je na testiranjima 30 posto ljudi nije imalo nikakvu bolest, u 11. mjesecu imamo pet posto ljudi koji nisu imali nikakvu bolest.
Koliki bi trebao biti postotak da bismo mogli reći da se vratila kontrola na epidemijom?
Taj broj nije idealno projicirati, primjer iz knjiga kaže da bi bilo idealno manje od pet posto, međutim ovisi o tome koga šaljete na testiranje. Kako se mijenja obrazac ljudi koji šaljete na testiranje tako mijenja informativnost ovog pokazatelja i on samo jedna od pokazatelja koji pratimo.
Na splitskom je području gotovo 30% testiranih pozitivno, u Splitu danas gotovo stotinu novih slučajeva, koliko je na brojke utjecala Torcidina proslava prije točno dva tjedna od čijih su posljedica epidemiolozi strahovali?
Izravno ne puno, jer su na to proslavili bili mlađi ljudi koji kako znamo da ne razvijaju teže oblike kliničke slike, a za neizravno sad je prilično teško reći jer je prošlo dosta vremena. No, ono što možemo reći da nismo vidjeli eksploziju od koje se strahovalo.
Zagreb danas ima više od 700 novozaraženih, kina, kazališta, kafići, sve radi -danas se nisu uspjeli dogovoriti, kakve mjere mislite da su potrebne Zagrebu?
To je poprilično nezahvalna situacija jer sa stajališta struke mi bismo htjeli ozbiljnije i snažnije mjere, ja sam zagovaratelj ozbiljnijih mjera, međutim tu je nezgoda jer ovaj virus radi popriličnu indirektnu štetu, i tu je važno da pronađemo ravnotežu i i sačuvamo najbolji mogući udio zdravlja alil i gospodarstvo, jer lako je pobjeći u jednu ili drugu krajnost, ali treba pronaći ravnotežu između obje krajnosti.
Primjer europskih zemalja je nešto što nas ne čini zadovoljnima, jer njihovi brojevi pokazuju dosta povećava, na razini Hrvatske je teško donositi generalizirane mjere, ali pozdravljam što su pojedini stožeri krenuli s promišljanjem i uvođenjem mjera, jer oni imaju puno bolju sliku što im se događa na terenu.
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Pozdravljam što su pojedini stožeri krenuli s promišljanjem i uvođenjem mjera, jer oni imaju puno bolju sliku što im se događa na terenu, kazao je Polašek
Nikad više testiranih, ali i novozaraženih od početka pandemije. Hrvatska je probila još jednu psihološku granicu s 3082 nova slučaja, a preminule su 32 osobe. Prvi je put u jednom danu testirano više od deset tisuća ljudi, što nas i dovodi do broja trenutačno zaraženih više od 16300. Među njima je gotovo 1600 ljudi na bolničkom liječenju, 178 najtežih na respiratoru.
Član Vladina znanstvenog savjeta Ozren Polašek za RTL Danas komentira situaciju s koronavirusom.
Danas više od tri tisuće novih slučajeva, kakve su vaše prognoze, do kojeg bismo broja mogli ići u vrhuncu ovog vala?
Jako teško projicirati gdje će biti vrhunac. Iz medija vidimo da ne možemo reći jesmo li u stagnaciji ili rastu, u svakom slučaju broj je jako velik i nismo nadali da će biti tako velik.
Rekordan je i broj testiranih, brine li to što je sve veći postotak uzoraka pozitivan - u nekim regijama svaki drugi ili treći.
To je jedan broj koji zabrinjava. No, morate znati da se obrazac epidemije mijenja, mijenjaju se parametri epidemije, u odnosu na osmi mjesec kada je na testiranjima 30 posto ljudi nije imalo nikakvu bolest, u 11. mjesecu imamo pet posto ljudi koji nisu imali nikakvu bolest.
Koliki bi trebao biti postotak da bismo mogli reći da se vratila kontrola na epidemijom?
Taj broj nije idealno projicirati, primjer iz knjiga kaže da bi bilo idealno manje od pet posto, međutim ovisi o tome koga šaljete na testiranje. Kako se mijenja obrazac ljudi koji šaljete na testiranje tako mijenja informativnost ovog pokazatelja i on samo jedna od pokazatelja koji pratimo.
Na splitskom je području gotovo 30% testiranih pozitivno, u Splitu danas gotovo stotinu novih slučajeva, koliko je na brojke utjecala Torcidina proslava prije točno dva tjedna od čijih su posljedica epidemiolozi strahovali?
Izravno ne puno, jer su na to proslavili bili mlađi ljudi koji kako znamo da ne razvijaju teže oblike kliničke slike, a za neizravno sad je prilično teško reći jer je prošlo dosta vremena. No, ono što možemo reći da nismo vidjeli eksploziju od koje se strahovalo.
Zagreb danas ima više od 700 novozaraženih, kina, kazališta, kafići, sve radi -danas se nisu uspjeli dogovoriti, kakve mjere mislite da su potrebne Zagrebu?
To je poprilično nezahvalna situacija jer sa stajališta struke mi bismo htjeli ozbiljnije i snažnije mjere, ja sam zagovaratelj ozbiljnijih mjera, međutim tu je nezgoda jer ovaj virus radi popriličnu indirektnu štetu, i tu je važno da pronađemo ravnotežu i i sačuvamo najbolji mogući udio zdravlja alil i gospodarstvo, jer lako je pobjeći u jednu ili drugu krajnost, ali treba pronaći ravnotežu između obje krajnosti.
Primjer europskih zemalja je nešto što nas ne čini zadovoljnima, jer njihovi brojevi pokazuju dosta povećava, na razini Hrvatske je teško donositi generalizirane mjere, ali pozdravljam što su pojedini stožeri krenuli s promišljanjem i uvođenjem mjera, jer oni imaju puno bolju sliku što im se događa na terenu.
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20. svibanj 2024 00:32
